golf longshots this weekgolf longshots this week

That makes the John Deere one of the weakest field events of the year -- but that doesn't mean there isn't money to be made betting it. He actually putts decent here, gaining more than five strokes to the field over the past two years. Shane Lowry of Ireland tees off on the 3rd hole during the continuation of Round Two on Day Three of the Hero Dubai Desert Classic at Emirates Golf Club on January 28, 2023 in Dubai, United Arab Emirates. Prior to Hovland, Mayakoba has been a week for middle- to longshots. The 4th elevated event on the PGA Tour schedule takes place this week with the star-studded 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Im sure hell make the cut, but I dont see him finishing top 10. The 9-hole China Creek Golf Course in Arlington, This playercould pull off a STUNNING victory and cash in HUGE for anyone who backs him! At last weeks WM Phoenix Open, we identified Rickie Fowler as our top long shot bet. WMPO: Sungjae Im. Build your customFanSided Daily email newsletter with news and analysis onAll Golf and all your favorite sports teams, TV shows, and more. Pick to Win Arnold Palmer Invitational (0.5 Units): Rory McIlroy (+950). Youll likely know pretty quickly with Kim, either hes making everything or nothing. You read that correctly: Not only did he finish T4 last year, but he also won the Genesis Invitational in 2020. McIlroy hasnt had his best stuff over the past two weeks, while Rahm has won five times in last eight starts. Hes dropped strokes to the field driving and on approach in consecutive events for the first time since earning his full tour card, but the long irons have continued to be much better than the field, and while distance is always going to be lacking, his accuracy continues to be elite. He created the website thepgatout.com at the start of 2021 and is active on Twitter (@PGATout). Mayo: Keith Mitchell (45-1, DraftKings) The number is just too high when you can keep scrolling past his name and find truly elite players who just happen to be in worse current form. Arnold Palmer Invitational: Shane Lowry, Tommy Fleetwood among top long-shot plays at this weeks PGA Tour stop Check out our betting preview for the 2023 Only he and Jon Rahm rank top-10 in SG/tee-to-green and SG/putting over the past 50 rounds, according to datagolf. We provide this information about sports betting for entertainment purposes only. He has eight top-25 finishes in his past nine starts with four top-10s. Lets get to our PGA TOUR golf sleepers and longshots for DFS lineups and betting cards. All advice, including picks and predictions, is based on individual commentators opinions and not that of Minute Media or its related brands. John Haslbauer writes about golf betting and advanced golf metrics for TheLines.com. Now, McDonald has sifted through the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational field for the best value and locked in his best bets and favorites to avoid. Hopefully its one of his hot weeks. As I went through my initial research for the WM Phoenix Open, my first impression was that Brendan Steele would be the chalk value play, given his Course History, Comp Course History, and specialty as an elite ball striker, even in a field as strong as this. Follow him on Twitter: @adplacksports. We shouldve had some equity in Chris Kirk but tried to get too cute. Its yet another elevated event on the PGA Tourso its dangerous to put our chips down on one name over 20-1, but thats what were doing. Big South Tournament Odds: UNC Asheville, Longwood Knotted Atop Betting Market. From 2012 to 2019, it took double-digits under par to win the event, but the last three winners were Tyrrell Hatton at 4-under, Bryson DeChambeau at 11-under and Scheffler at 5-under. Bay Hill presents a long and stern test from tee to green. Skip to main content. This tournament has bred few surprises at the top of the leaderboard by Sunday. Overall, Im building my player pool this week around elite ball strikers who are reliable scramblers around the green with proven history at this event or other comp courses. McIlroy has gained strokes putting at Bay Hill in four of his past five trips, which has translated to one win, four top-10s and no finish worse than T-13. Hes trending toward another victory. These are the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks and best bets for what should be a great week at Bay Hill. Putnam ranks top-15 in Good Drives Gained, Bogey Avoidance, Scrambling Gained, and SG: P, all good signs for a potential top-30 or top-40 push. Bet with your head, not over it. But despite all that, there is still one longshot whos made his way onto my outright card anyway, and its this man right here. A good way to hedge that is by employing him in OAD. He gained 7.86 strokes ball-striking at Riviera, the most in a single event since his win in Memphis, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. For more betting picks and advice, check out BetSided. >. In Hahns case, hes a bit too volatile for me to want to wager a placement bet on, but Im optimistic about his boom potential as a DFS salary saver. Shop the best odds for PGA TOUR golf sleepers and more highly-touted players across sportsbooks here, including for top 10, top 20, etc. American Express: Brian Harman. And while Fleetwood has yet to win in the U.S., he does boast 21 top-10 finishes in his career and 33% of those have come in Florida, including three at this very course. Learn about the best sports betting sites. TPC Scottsdale is a course that rewards elite ball-striking first and foremost. (Photo by Luke Walker/Getty Images), Back Shohei Ohtani, Japan in World Baseball Classic futures market. That set up is not especially conducive to betting longshots, however there are still high upside sleepers in this field worth consideration for placement bets and your DFS lineups. After a disappointing finish at the Memorial earlier this month, Conners has a great opportunity to make up for missing the cut at last years U.S. Open. Scottie won Phoenix, Rahm won Riv. Lee is striking the ball just way too well for his odds to be this long and he proved somewhat that it wasnt just a DP World Tour thing when he finished strong on the weekend at PGA National. Course History and Comp Course History in difficult, major-like conditions are the foundation for my Arnold Palmer Invitational research this week. Bay Hill Club & Lodge will be the host in Orlando this week as we are readying for another PGA Tour designated event at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. The Wake Forest star remains one of the best drivers of the ball on long golf courses, as well as one of the best long iron players in the field. More recently, he finished 10th in 2021 and 11th last season. Join SportsLine right now to see Patrick McDonald's top picks for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, all from the expert up more than $2,000 for the 2022-23 season, and find out! WebIts why the hero of BigShots Golf is our kitchen its what makes us and we dont want to just talk about it, we want to live it. Prior to that debacle, Bradley has five top-25 finishes in his previous seven startsincluding a win at the ZOZO Championship. That trend is likely not to continue with such a strong field, including seven of the top 20 Bay Hill has been a ball-strikers paradise historically, and theres no better ball-striker to go to war with (besides Willy Z) than Kawa. Poston. Big Shot Bob and another expert contact hitter are among Paulie's longshot options for Southern Hills and the 2022 PGA West has typically been a good place to bet longshots, so our golf analysts are taking some shots down the board for their favorite outright bets. And with high winds in the forecast it may very well come down to a scrambling contest before crowning a winner in the single digits under par. The South Korean is extremely unlikely to beat this field and perhaps the more pragmatic move is to use him as a DFS option, a first-round leader dart or a top-20 play, but its hard to quit Benny An when his game is trending up. If youve been reading this column over the past month or so, youve been cashing tickets. As well as contributing to Golf Digest, Andy is also a data analyst and writer for RickRunGood.com, where he covers PGA Tour betting and daily fantasy. Below, find my favorite value DFS options and longshots for the 2023 WM Phoenix Open. February 28, 2023 12:30 pm ET. WebThe Echo Hills Golf Course is bordered on two sides by the town and on the other sides by farmland. Scroll down to see who we like this week at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. American Express: Cameron Young. Sam Eaton: Cameron Young (+8000) (Bet $100 to Win $8000) Sebastian Munoz became my second near-miss in the longshot column after Shane Lowry recorded a second-place earlier in the year. I expect Im to miss the cut this week, which would likely be in his best interest anyway to get a couple days off before the Players Championship next week. Lack: Rory McIlroy (+110) over Jon Rahm (PointsBet) This matchup will be extremely fun to track, as I believe Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm have emerged as far and away the two best players in the world. Were getting value based on Rorys slow start on the West Coast, which was mainly short-game induced. Gdula: Tony Finau (+240, FanDuel) Its such a good field that even the top 10 will be hard for long shots to squeeze into with much success. Its worth noting that Day has played more rounds than both of those guys. Click on odds anywhere below to bet now on the best available prices in your state. Genesis: Collin Morikawa. Shane Lowry of Ireland tees off on the 3rd hole during the continuation of Round Two on Day Three of the Hero Dubai Desert Classic at Emirates It will be the final major of 2021 and the last of the six comprising the 2020-21 PGA Tour The PGA Tour schedule continues this week in Orlando, Florida for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill Club and Lodge. Bermuda: Denny McCarthy. Gehman: Keegan Bradley (75-1, FanDuel) Bradley putted himself out of Los Angeles, losing nearly four strokes on the greens over just two rounds, resulting in an MC. Lets take a look at some players down the board who could turn some heads at Bay Hill this week: Like in any sport, a big part in finding success in golf betting comes down to timing and noticing patterns. So, from a golf betting perspective, this doesnt feel like a week to have much optimism in the longshots outlook. Brandon Gdula, FanDuel/numberFire managing editor: Xander Schauffele (24-1, FanDuel) Bay Hill is a demanding test overall, and Schauffele has an all-around game thats as good as anyones. Mayakoba: Viktor Hovland. Scottie Scheffler looks to defend his title at Bay Hill and is searching for his second win of 2023. An was a popular play at +4500 last week, so going back to him at +20000 doesnt seem like a bad idea. NEC Tournament Odds: Merrimack In A One-Horse Race? And which golfer in the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field could bring a massive payday of well over 80-1? Even more concerning, he fell down the leaderboard over the weekend at both the Genesis Invitational and Honda Classic. Andy Lack, RickRunGood.com and Inside Golf podcast: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) Zalatoris answered the lingering injury questions with a fourth-place finish at Riviera, where he gained 3.9 strokes off the tee, four strokes on approach, 2.4 strokes around the green and 2.4 strokes putting. The 37-year-old earned his fifth PGA Tour win and first since 2015 at the 2023 Honda Classic on Sunday after beating rookie Eric Cole in a playoff at PGA National in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida. The 2014 FedEx Cup champion has long odds this week to the tune of +10000 to win. After a lull last week with the Honda Classic, the heat picks up considerably for the next few weeks as we head to Bay Hill for the Arnold Palmier Invitational followed by THE PLAYERS Championship at TPC Sawgrass. Who are you taking? While he fell victim to a faulty putter in his last start, the 31-year-old has actually gained strokes putting in his past four appearances on Bermuda grass. Earlier this week, I previewed the PGA Championship focusing on three of the favorites at Southern Hills. Additionally, Youngs short game has been in the toilet since the calendar flipped to 2023. The US Masters is scheduled for the first full week in April and as such, is the first of golf's four majors played each calendar year. Tee times in this area. Complete 2023 College Basketball Conference Tournament Schedule, MGC Extends Deadline For Diversity, Kiosk Studies, Minnesota Lawmakers Advance HF 2000 In House Committee. McIlroy (19-2) and Scheffler (11-1) also are top contenders in the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field, followed by Max Homa (19-1), Collin Morikawa (21-1) and Justin Thomas (23-1). Zozo: Sungjae Im. Last weeks champion and new World No. The expert also just missed a MASSIVE 130-1 score at the Sony Open when Hayden Buckley finished as runner-up. Final DraftKings Picks PGA DFS Lineups - The Honda Classic Invitational Daily Fantasy Golf Advice (Premium Content) LIV Golf Betting Picks - 2023 Mayakoba. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Rory McIlroy (+110) over Jon Rahm (PointsBet) Rorys strokes-gained numbers at Bay Hill are insanehes gained nearly 75 strokes to the field in his eight appearances here. In the NFL, we handicap based on schedule and travel spots all the time, but it rarely gets discussed in golf. Rory McIlroy has become a horse at The Kings place, finishing 13th or better in seven of eight appearances. Lowry is coming off a good week in Palm Beach Gardens but hasnt been able to solve Bay Hill. Hes riding a super-hot putter and is the most overvalued of the favorites, per my model. Hes not backing down. Hoffmans four top-15 finishes at the Arnold Palmer Invitational over the last five years are especially notable. Full Leaderboard . follow. We hate touts. Obviously, we still have the 90/1 Luke List winner to fall back on. Mix in the fact hes gone fifth-eighth-15th-13th in his last four starts at API and youve got the recipe for a Florida Swing heater. Brandon Gdula, managing editor and analyst for NumberFire, a FanDuel daily-fantasy analysis company, recently won the 2018 FSWA Golf Writer of the Year. Getting cheeky with these parlays hasnt been profitable but this one feels too good to pass up. Caddie: Max Homa (+130) over Scottie Scheffler (DraftKings) Homas ball-striking is in an elite category right now, and theres no reason to believe he shouldnt keep up his hot form. Touts are lame. READ MORE: Full sports betting coverage from The Philadelphia Inquirer. Theres been an interesting trend at the API over the past few years. I think in what has been a battle of titans early in the year, Rory puts his hat in the ring with a win. Zalatoris has spoken only about the fact that his favorite style of golf is U.S. Open conditions, and with rock-hard greens and extremely thick rough, Bay Hill is about as close to a U.S.-Open-like setup well see all season. All advice, including picks and best bets for what should be a great at. And longshots for the 2023 WM Phoenix Open, we handicap based on individual commentators opinions and Not that Minute. Last four starts at API and youve got the recipe for a Florida Swing.... The time, but I dont see him finishing top 10: Rory McIlroy +950. Feel like a week for middle- to longshots ): Rory McIlroy become... ): Rory McIlroy has become a horse at the Arnold Palmer Invitational ( 0.5 Units:! At +20000 doesnt seem like a week for middle- to longshots youve got the recipe for Florida. 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